Economy

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

Mohamed El-Erian thinks that last year's economic tailwinds will give way to more challenging conditions as the AI narrative fades

Mohamed El-Erian thinks that last year's economic tailwinds will give way to more challenging conditions as the AI narrative fades

Bogus claims against Fed boss being watched closely; Indian CPI stay low; Australian household spending rises; Google's AI chops power its valuation; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold hits new record, oil stable; NZ$1 = 57.7 USc; TWI-5 = 61.7

Bogus claims against Fed boss being watched closely; Indian CPI stay low; Australian household spending rises; Google's AI chops power its valuation; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold hits new record, oil stable; NZ$1 = 57.7 USc; TWI-5 = 61.7

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says Department of Justice subpoenas 'a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President'

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell says Department of Justice subpoenas 'a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the President'

Unlike the sanguine outlook reviews from many others, David Skilling says 2026 will be another disruptive year of structural global economic and geopolitical change

Unlike the sanguine outlook reviews from many others, David Skilling says 2026 will be another disruptive year of structural global economic and geopolitical change

Brian Easton notes we are a small, isolated nation and we need to design our institutions accordingly. We should avoid uncritically imitating larger nations

Brian Easton notes we are a small, isolated nation and we need to design our institutions accordingly. We should avoid uncritically imitating larger nations

Make it a habit. Give our weekly quiz a go, joining a growing group who love the challenge

Make it a habit. Give our weekly quiz a go, joining a growing group who love the challenge

Eyes on some big key US decisions including for tariffs; better balance for Canada jobs; strong Indian loan growth, Taiwan exports; EU cements huge new FTA; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold zooms, oil firms; NZ$1 = 57.3 USc; TWI-5 = 61.4

Eyes on some big key US decisions including for tariffs; better balance for Canada jobs; strong Indian loan growth, Taiwan exports; EU cements huge new FTA; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold zooms, oil firms; NZ$1 = 57.3 USc; TWI-5 = 61.4

US data weakish across the board; Japan household spending rises; China inflation stays low; Indian loan growth rises; EU retail rises; huge new trade bloc formed; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold zooms, oil firms; NZ$1 = 57.3 USc; TWI-5 = 61.4

US data weakish across the board; Japan household spending rises; China inflation stays low; Indian loan growth rises; EU retail rises; huge new trade bloc formed; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold zooms, oil firms; NZ$1 = 57.3 USc; TWI-5 = 61.4

US jobs data soft ahead of payrolls report; US trade data weaker; China property declines; German factory orders jump; air cargo rises fast except in the US; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold on hold; oil firms; NZ$1 = 57.5 USc; TWI-5 = 61.5

US jobs data soft ahead of payrolls report; US trade data weaker; China property declines; German factory orders jump; air cargo rises fast except in the US; UST 10yr at 4.18%; gold on hold; oil firms; NZ$1 = 57.5 USc; TWI-5 = 61.5

The loud views of pessimists may dominate the headlines or social media, but the evidence suggests that moral decline is not happening

The loud views of pessimists may dominate the headlines or social media, but the evidence suggests that moral decline is not happening

US hiring weak, job openings at 14 month low; US services PMIs differ; China to follow loose monetary policy; Australia CPI dips; UST 10yr at 4.14%; gold dips from highs; oil down at 5yr lows; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 61.8

US hiring weak, job openings at 14 month low; US services PMIs differ; China to follow loose monetary policy; Australia CPI dips; UST 10yr at 4.14%; gold dips from highs; oil down at 5yr lows; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 61.8

Commodities surge, including dairy prices; US services sector cools, car sales modest; China car sales hit record; notable China climate shift; UST 10yr at 4.18%; precious metals all up sharply; oil lower; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 61.8

Commodities surge, including dairy prices; US services sector cools, car sales modest; China car sales hit record; notable China climate shift; UST 10yr at 4.18%; precious metals all up sharply; oil lower; NZ$1 = 57.8 USc; TWI-5 = 61.8

US factories contract; US flu season 'moderately severe'; China service sector expands slower; EU fully adopts CBAM to international grumbles; UST 10yr at 4.16%; gold up sharply; oil low & stable; NZ$1 = 57.9 USc; TWI-5 = 61.9

US factories contract; US flu season 'moderately severe'; China service sector expands slower; EU fully adopts CBAM to international grumbles; UST 10yr at 4.16%; gold up sharply; oil low & stable; NZ$1 = 57.9 USc; TWI-5 = 61.9

Brian Easton's latest column is a response to the complaint that we have poor economic performance because we have summer holidays. It praises them

Brian Easton's latest column is a response to the complaint that we have poor economic performance because we have summer holidays. It praises them