Trade

Roger J Kerr says to some degree, the Warsh appointment does alleviate worries that the Fed’s independence from political interference would be compromised through Trump’s choice of the new Chair

Roger J Kerr says to some degree, the Warsh appointment does alleviate worries that the Fed’s independence from political interference would be compromised through Trump’s choice of the new Chair

New Zealand's exports reached more that $80 billion for the first time last year, but we did still import slightly more than we exported

New Zealand's exports reached more that $80 billion for the first time last year, but we did still import slightly more than we exported

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should have foreseen 'a much stronger economy and high inflation.' He is also watching the 'sell America' trade, chances of yen intervention, and the pressure piling up on the RBA

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should have foreseen 'a much stronger economy and high inflation.' He is also watching the 'sell America' trade, chances of yen intervention, and the pressure piling up on the RBA

Raf Manji says evidence suggests the 40-year-old multilateral and coordinated approach of major economies is in for major change, with full and unilateral restructuring of the global trading system possible

Raf Manji says evidence suggests the 40-year-old multilateral and coordinated approach of major economies is in for major change, with full and unilateral restructuring of the global trading system possible

Jiao Wang asks if US tariffs have failed to bite given China’s trade surplus hit a record US$1.2 trillion

Jiao Wang asks if US tariffs have failed to bite given China’s trade surplus hit a record US$1.2 trillion

In his state of the nation address, Christopher Luxon has focused on the Government's reform of KiwiSaver, NCEA and the RMA and says there's 'no room for extravagant election promises'

In his state of the nation address, Christopher Luxon has focused on the Government's reform of KiwiSaver, NCEA and the RMA and says there's 'no room for extravagant election promises'

Brian Easton says free trade deals can be complicated; so is their analysis

Brian Easton says free trade deals can be complicated; so is their analysis

Roger J Kerr says Governor Breman may be forced to eat her own words that the interest rate markets have become ahead of themselves in pricing-in interest rate increases later in 2026

Roger J Kerr says Governor Breman may be forced to eat her own words that the interest rate markets have become ahead of themselves in pricing-in interest rate increases later in 2026

David Mahon sees China growing in confidence it will lead an Asia-centric renewal, even with India included

David Mahon sees China growing in confidence it will lead an Asia-centric renewal, even with India included

Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out

Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out

Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions

Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions

Brian Easton notes that the government is still borrowing for consumption and suspects neither Nicola Willis nor Ruth Richardson actually understand what is behind their recent public spat

Brian Easton notes that the government is still borrowing for consumption and suspects neither Nicola Willis nor Ruth Richardson actually understand what is behind their recent public spat

Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties

Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties

Roger J Kerr says September quarter GDP numbers this week should confirm once and for all the performance of our economy in 2025 has been misunderstood, misread and misreported by the majority of economic forecasters

Roger J Kerr says September quarter GDP numbers this week should confirm once and for all the performance of our economy in 2025 has been misunderstood, misread and misreported by the majority of economic forecasters

Brian Easton says how we connect economically with the world is critical

Brian Easton says how we connect economically with the world is critical