Monetary Policy Review
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
14th Aug 24, 2:11pm
289
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
12th Aug 24, 2:20pm
33
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
11th Aug 24, 6:30am
138
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
8th Jul 24, 1:45pm
23
Kiwibank economists say they would recommend cutting the Official Cash Rate in August
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
7th Jul 24, 6:30am
100
The Reserve Bank's likely to cheerfully ignore the growing clamour for some public indication of when the Official Cash Rate will be cut when it has its next review of the OCR in the coming week
BNZ economists say they hope the Reserve Bank will 'eventually accept' there are a number of relative price increases such as insurance and rates that can be 'looked through'
2nd Jul 24, 10:55am
28
BNZ economists say they hope the Reserve Bank will 'eventually accept' there are a number of relative price increases such as insurance and rates that can be 'looked through'
[updated]
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the country is in a 'slow-to-no-to-negative' growth environment, but the outlook is slightly more positive for the future and the outlook is also for continued declines in inflation
19th Jun 24, 9:49am
130
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says the country is in a 'slow-to-no-to-negative' growth environment, but the outlook is slightly more positive for the future and the outlook is also for continued declines in inflation
[updated]
RBNZ leaves Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, but says domestic inflation is slow to fall and now puts a 60% chance of a further OCR hike by the end of this year; now doesn't see inflation getting back under 3% till the fourth quarter of the year
22nd May 24, 2:20pm
280
RBNZ leaves Official Cash Rate at 5.5%, but says domestic inflation is slow to fall and now puts a 60% chance of a further OCR hike by the end of this year; now doesn't see inflation getting back under 3% till the fourth quarter of the year
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
46
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
23
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
28th Feb 24, 2:13pm
104
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
[updated]
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
29th Nov 23, 2:20pm
93
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
16th Aug 23, 2:18pm
99
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
31st May 23, 7:52am
49
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
18
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
[updated]
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
24th May 23, 2:11pm
150
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
17th May 23, 12:05pm
65
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
75
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
103
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
115
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
[updated]
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
23rd Feb 23, 9:37am
71
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
22nd Feb 23, 2:11pm
138
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
14th Dec 22, 2:33pm
46
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
7th Dec 22, 8:08am
78
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says 'good on' the Reserve Bank for recognising the scale of the inflation problem 'and fronting up to the fact that hoping inflation just goes away is likely to lead to worse outcomes in the end'
30th Nov 22, 2:56pm
13
ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says 'good on' the Reserve Bank for recognising the scale of the inflation problem 'and fronting up to the fact that hoping inflation just goes away is likely to lead to worse outcomes in the end'