Inflation

Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of US dollar strength is likely to be as short-lived as all the previous upticks in the USD Index since the start of 2025

Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of US dollar strength is likely to be as short-lived as all the previous upticks in the USD Index since the start of 2025

Westpac economists have come to the conclusion the massive 0.9% June GDP slump was an anomaly due to a series of events stemming back to the closure of New Zealand's only oil refinery and they say the 'real' result was more like a 0.1% drop

Westpac economists have come to the conclusion the massive 0.9% June GDP slump was an anomaly due to a series of events stemming back to the closure of New Zealand's only oil refinery and they say the 'real' result was more like a 0.1% drop

Stats NZ says falling mortgage interest rates in the past year drove down the cost of living for households

Stats NZ says falling mortgage interest rates in the past year drove down the cost of living for households

Roger J Kerr sees markets expecting a US Fed rate cut believing the tariff-cost impact has largely passed, offset by other costs being restrained. For NZ, the bad news is now all behind us, and the NZD should rise from here

Roger J Kerr sees markets expecting a US Fed rate cut believing the tariff-cost impact has largely passed, offset by other costs being restrained. For NZ, the bad news is now all behind us, and the NZD should rise from here

If we weren't hell-bent on eating, owning homes and keeping ourselves warm, we could kick this inflation thing for good

If we weren't hell-bent on eating, owning homes and keeping ourselves warm, we could kick this inflation thing for good

Westpac economists see about a 30% to 35% chance the Reserve Bank will do another jumbo sized rate cut next month, which could see the OCR end the year at 2.0%

Westpac economists see about a 30% to 35% chance the Reserve Bank will do another jumbo sized rate cut next month, which could see the OCR end the year at 2.0%

Roger J Kerr says global currency markets continue to “fly blind” due to the absence of up-to-date US economic data

Roger J Kerr says global currency markets continue to “fly blind” due to the absence of up-to-date US economic data

September quarter Consumers Price Index figures out Monday expected to show annual inflation close to the top of or above the top of the targeted 1% to 3% range, but the Reserve Bank is ready for it

September quarter Consumers Price Index figures out Monday expected to show annual inflation close to the top of or above the top of the targeted 1% to 3% range, but the Reserve Bank is ready for it

Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show that food prices dropped 0.4% in September, lowering the annual increase to 4.1% - down from 5.0% the previous month; rents had their lowest annual increase since 2011

Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show that food prices dropped 0.4% in September, lowering the annual increase to 4.1% - down from 5.0% the previous month; rents had their lowest annual increase since 2011

Roger J Kerr says it's no wonder that economists and market analysts are reverting to high-frequency alternative measures of economic activity

Roger J Kerr says it's no wonder that economists and market analysts are reverting to high-frequency alternative measures of economic activity

The Reserve Bank is actively encouraging us to start splashing some cash. Hopefully, this might work. It might also be more than a bit risky

The Reserve Bank is actively encouraging us to start splashing some cash. Hopefully, this might work. It might also be more than a bit risky

The experts think in a years' time the OCR should be in a range between 2.50% and 2.75%, with views divided on how much further easing in monetary policy should be required beyond October

The experts think in a years' time the OCR should be in a range between 2.50% and 2.75%, with views divided on how much further easing in monetary policy should be required beyond October

Roger J Kerr says the risk of overcooking the monetary stimulus and pushing interest rates too low is that this would stimulate another debt-fuelled housing boom

Roger J Kerr says the risk of overcooking the monetary stimulus and pushing interest rates too low is that this would stimulate another debt-fuelled housing boom

The coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate decision looks a genuine toss-up between either a 25 point cut or a 50 pointer, with the RBNZ having to decide whether our sickly economy needs a faster push

The coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate decision looks a genuine toss-up between either a 25 point cut or a 50 pointer, with the RBNZ having to decide whether our sickly economy needs a faster push

Roger J Kerr offers up some advice on the foibles and quirks of the New Zealand economy for the incoming RBNZ Governor Anna Breman

Roger J Kerr offers up some advice on the foibles and quirks of the New Zealand economy for the incoming RBNZ Governor Anna Breman