Inflation

ASB economists stress the importance of studying 'high frequency' economic data at a time when our official GDP figures are both lagged and containing less reliable data than they did

ASB economists stress the importance of studying 'high frequency' economic data at a time when our official GDP figures are both lagged and containing less reliable data than they did

Stats NZ says falling interest rates helped push household living costs down below the official rate of inflation as measured by the Consumers Price Index in the past year

Stats NZ says falling interest rates helped push household living costs down below the official rate of inflation as measured by the Consumers Price Index in the past year

Roger J Kerr says to some degree, the Warsh appointment does alleviate worries that the Fed’s independence from political interference would be compromised through Trump’s choice of the new Chair

Roger J Kerr says to some degree, the Warsh appointment does alleviate worries that the Fed’s independence from political interference would be compromised through Trump’s choice of the new Chair

Australian inflation jumps, adding to chances of an RBA interest rate hike

Australian inflation jumps, adding to chances of an RBA interest rate hike

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should have foreseen 'a much stronger economy and high inflation.' He is also watching the 'sell America' trade, chances of yen intervention, and the pressure piling up on the RBA

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should have foreseen 'a much stronger economy and high inflation.' He is also watching the 'sell America' trade, chances of yen intervention, and the pressure piling up on the RBA

December quarter Consumers Price Index figures may show our inflation rate once again above the 1% to 3% target range. How new RBNZ Governor Anna Breman will respond to our stubborn high prices in her first OCR review next month will be keenly watched

December quarter Consumers Price Index figures may show our inflation rate once again above the 1% to 3% target range. How new RBNZ Governor Anna Breman will respond to our stubborn high prices in her first OCR review next month will be keenly watched

Roger J Kerr says Governor Breman may be forced to eat her own words that the interest rate markets have become ahead of themselves in pricing-in interest rate increases later in 2026

Roger J Kerr says Governor Breman may be forced to eat her own words that the interest rate markets have become ahead of themselves in pricing-in interest rate increases later in 2026

ASB economist warns CPI inflation may have ended 2025 above 3% as food prices rise and strong electricity and gas price rises continue, according to Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes

ASB economist warns CPI inflation may have ended 2025 above 3% as food prices rise and strong electricity and gas price rises continue, according to Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes

John Hawkins argues the world’s central bankers had to speak up against Trump’s attacks on the Fed

John Hawkins argues the world’s central bankers had to speak up against Trump’s attacks on the Fed

Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve risk fuelling US inflation and ending dollar dominance, Emre Tarim says

Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve risk fuelling US inflation and ending dollar dominance, Emre Tarim says

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out

Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out

Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions

Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions

Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties

Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties

Finance Minister Nicola Willis on banking competition, inflation, the upcoming election and hard working NZ families

Finance Minister Nicola Willis on banking competition, inflation, the upcoming election and hard working NZ families