GDP
Activity levels in New Zealand's economic engine room remain at contractionary levels
18th Nov 24, 11:21am
3
Activity levels in New Zealand's economic engine room remain at contractionary levels
Roger J Kerr says speculators are sitting on large profits and he wonders when they will cash up
18th Nov 24, 8:14am
4
Roger J Kerr says speculators are sitting on large profits and he wonders when they will cash up
Westpac economists say the change in US administration reinforces their expectations that the RBNZ's approach to monetary policy easing over the New Year will be more cautious
11th Nov 24, 11:46am
20
Westpac economists say the change in US administration reinforces their expectations that the RBNZ's approach to monetary policy easing over the New Year will be more cautious
Roger J Kerr examines some of the questions posed in the aftermath of the US election
11th Nov 24, 8:22am
2
Roger J Kerr examines some of the questions posed in the aftermath of the US election
Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show household costs - including interest payments - rose 3.8% in the year to September
5th Nov 24, 11:41am
6
Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show household costs - including interest payments - rose 3.8% in the year to September
Roger J Kerr examines the scenarios for the forthcoming election and the potential impact on the US and Kiwi dollars
4th Nov 24, 8:16am
2
Roger J Kerr examines the scenarios for the forthcoming election and the potential impact on the US and Kiwi dollars
Latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows business optimism is continuing to rise on the back of steady falls in interest rates
31st Oct 24, 2:29pm
10
Latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows business optimism is continuing to rise on the back of steady falls in interest rates
Roger J Kerr looks at what betting markets are indicating and what traders are thinking. Self-interested bias with OPM? Meanwhile, Japanese political turmoil confuses the interest rate and Yen currency outlook
28th Oct 24, 9:10am
8
Roger J Kerr looks at what betting markets are indicating and what traders are thinking. Self-interested bias with OPM? Meanwhile, Japanese political turmoil confuses the interest rate and Yen currency outlook
BNZ economists look back at some of the reasons why the Reserve Bank made big OCR cuts in the past, finding such reasons don't currently exist
21st Oct 24, 2:22pm
36
BNZ economists look back at some of the reasons why the Reserve Bank made big OCR cuts in the past, finding such reasons don't currently exist
Roger J Kerr looks at the scenarios and potential outcome of the US election
The return of inflation well and truly into the 1% to 3% target range is most welcome news, but what does it say for the immediate path of interest rates and how quickly the economy can recover?
16th Oct 24, 11:55am
53
The return of inflation well and truly into the 1% to 3% target range is most welcome news, but what does it say for the immediate path of interest rates and how quickly the economy can recover?
Roger J Kerr says the the reality is that the New Zealand economy still has a major problem with sticky/high non-tradable inflation from the public sector and non-competitive sectors of the economy
14th Oct 24, 8:59am
14
Roger J Kerr says the the reality is that the New Zealand economy still has a major problem with sticky/high non-tradable inflation from the public sector and non-competitive sectors of the economy
Brian Easton sees a looming crisis for the oldest elderly and says we should be setting a formula for superannuation eligibility based upon life expectation, not a numerical age
7th Oct 24, 9:28am
50
Brian Easton sees a looming crisis for the oldest elderly and says we should be setting a formula for superannuation eligibility based upon life expectation, not a numerical age
Roger J Kerr says the latest US jobs data leaves unanswered questions
[updated]
A weak result in the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion has prompted economists to change their calls and forecast that the RBNZ will cut the Official Cash Rate by a massive 100 basis points before the end of the year
2nd Oct 24, 10:12am
84
A weak result in the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion has prompted economists to change their calls and forecast that the RBNZ will cut the Official Cash Rate by a massive 100 basis points before the end of the year
[updated]
Latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows not only that optimism about the future continues to grow, but also the first signs of improvement in current activity
30th Sep 24, 1:25pm
72
Latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows not only that optimism about the future continues to grow, but also the first signs of improvement in current activity
Dairy company Synlait says it 'can now confidently draw a line under several of the difficulties faced and move onto the more important matters concerning running a growing and viable business'
30th Sep 24, 9:52am
Dairy company Synlait says it 'can now confidently draw a line under several of the difficulties faced and move onto the more important matters concerning running a growing and viable business'
Brian Easton tracks the path of stagnation and contraction the NZ economy has been on
30th Sep 24, 8:17am
6
Brian Easton tracks the path of stagnation and contraction the NZ economy has been on
Roger J Kerr outlines why the New Zealand dollar has been rising
Kiwibank economists say they would 'advocate' that the Reserve Bank cuts the OCR by 50 basis points both next month and again in November
23rd Sep 24, 3:09pm
78
Kiwibank economists say they would 'advocate' that the Reserve Bank cuts the OCR by 50 basis points both next month and again in November
Roger J Kerr says what is important for the future NZ dollar direction is whether the US dollar continues to depreciate and how much the Australian dollar and Japanese Yen - which the NZD follows - benefit from that
23rd Sep 24, 8:28am
2
Roger J Kerr says what is important for the future NZ dollar direction is whether the US dollar continues to depreciate and how much the Australian dollar and Japanese Yen - which the NZD follows - benefit from that
Economists call for faster rate cuts as the recent slowdown in economic activity outpaces the 2008 recession
20th Sep 24, 6:00am
177
Economists call for faster rate cuts as the recent slowdown in economic activity outpaces the 2008 recession
The country's largest bank says the types of spending most sensitive to interest rates are experiencing the largest falls
19th Sep 24, 11:35am
The country's largest bank says the types of spending most sensitive to interest rates are experiencing the largest falls
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
19th Sep 24, 10:53am
199
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
16th Sep 24, 2:21pm
47
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025