GDP
Economists don't see the upside surprise to the latest quarterly GDP figures as derailing likely Official Cash Rate cuts in each of the next two RBNZ reviews - but beyond that there's question marks over what comes next
24th Mar 25, 2:42pm
1
Economists don't see the upside surprise to the latest quarterly GDP figures as derailing likely Official Cash Rate cuts in each of the next two RBNZ reviews - but beyond that there's question marks over what comes next
Roger J Kerr looks forward into the remainder of 2025 to project what the likely forces will be on the Kiwi dollar
24th Mar 25, 9:26am
Roger J Kerr looks forward into the remainder of 2025 to project what the likely forces will be on the Kiwi dollar
David Hargreaves says the turnaround of co-operative Fonterra at a time of high dairy prices provides a timely boost for our flagging economy
23rd Mar 25, 6:00am
1
David Hargreaves says the turnaround of co-operative Fonterra at a time of high dairy prices provides a timely boost for our flagging economy
After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP grew a better-than expected 0.7% in the December quarter; figures 'a genuine upside surprise'
20th Mar 25, 10:57am
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After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP grew a better-than expected 0.7% in the December quarter; figures 'a genuine upside surprise'
NZIER's latest consensus of economic forecasts shows that while economic growth is expected to rise above 2% by this time next year, economists see GDP only growing 2.6% by the March 2028 year
17th Mar 25, 2:18pm
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NZIER's latest consensus of economic forecasts shows that while economic growth is expected to rise above 2% by this time next year, economists see GDP only growing 2.6% by the March 2028 year
Roger J Kerr says the reign of the US dollar is now teetering
After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP likely returned to positive growth for the December quarter, but the growth's looking pretty subdued so far
16th Mar 25, 6:30am
5
After plunging in the previous two quarters, GDP likely returned to positive growth for the December quarter, but the growth's looking pretty subdued so far
Stats NZ figures show that manufacturing and wholesale sale figures flipped into positive territory in the December quarter after both going backwards in the September quarter; meat and dairy were strong contributors
11th Mar 25, 11:50am
2
Stats NZ figures show that manufacturing and wholesale sale figures flipped into positive territory in the December quarter after both going backwards in the September quarter; meat and dairy were strong contributors
Roger J Kerr examines some of the factors behind the US dollar selling
Statistics NZ says our terms of trade rose 3.1% in the December quarter as export price gains outstripped import price increases
3rd Mar 25, 12:03pm
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Statistics NZ says our terms of trade rose 3.1% in the December quarter as export price gains outstripped import price increases
Roger J Kerr says markets quickly move on to the next economic development and the knee-jerk response to a non-economic shock or risk event is nearly always temporary
3rd Mar 25, 8:40am
Roger J Kerr says markets quickly move on to the next economic development and the knee-jerk response to a non-economic shock or risk event is nearly always temporary
ANZ chief economist says it seems clear GDP returned to positive growth in the last three months of 2024
27th Feb 25, 1:22pm
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ANZ chief economist says it seems clear GDP returned to positive growth in the last three months of 2024
Capital Economics revises down its forecast for the NZ dollar this year and sticks to its view the Reserve Bank will need to cut the OCR further than currently expected
26th Feb 25, 9:51am
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Capital Economics revises down its forecast for the NZ dollar this year and sticks to its view the Reserve Bank will need to cut the OCR further than currently expected
Roger J Kerr says many key US economic indicators are expected to print on the softer side as a result of financial pressures, as well as the Trump regime’s chainsaw attack on Federal Government institutions and jobs
24th Feb 25, 8:39am
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Roger J Kerr says many key US economic indicators are expected to print on the softer side as a result of financial pressures, as well as the Trump regime’s chainsaw attack on Federal Government institutions and jobs
Our national airline says it may have as many as 11 jets out of service between now and the end of June
20th Feb 25, 10:01am
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Our national airline says it may have as many as 11 jets out of service between now and the end of June
[updated]
Reserve Bank cuts OCR to 3.75% and indicates room for more cuts than earlier forecast this year; economists say 'we are all on the same page now'
19th Feb 25, 2:14pm
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Reserve Bank cuts OCR to 3.75% and indicates room for more cuts than earlier forecast this year; economists say 'we are all on the same page now'
The services sector expanded slightly in January, as did the manufacturing sector - results that point toward an economic recovery later in the year
17th Feb 25, 11:04am
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The services sector expanded slightly in January, as did the manufacturing sector - results that point toward an economic recovery later in the year
Roger J Kerr says a series of softer economic data prints, similar to the retail sales numbers last week, will lead to a rapid shift in interest rate market pricing for Fed rate cuts this year
17th Feb 25, 8:57am
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Roger J Kerr says a series of softer economic data prints, similar to the retail sales numbers last week, will lead to a rapid shift in interest rate market pricing for Fed rate cuts this year
[updated]
The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
10th Feb 25, 1:35pm
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The Reserve Bank will have to deliver more interest rate cuts than it has signalled this year, or the risk of further job losses will only grow, Kiwibank economists say
Brian Easton presents a definitely not verified transcript of a recent conversation between the Prime Minister and his chief economic adviser
10th Feb 25, 8:54am
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Brian Easton presents a definitely not verified transcript of a recent conversation between the Prime Minister and his chief economic adviser
Roger J Kerr says there are a number of US economic data releases that have the potential to cause more USD selling than buying
10th Feb 25, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says there are a number of US economic data releases that have the potential to cause more USD selling than buying
New Zealand ranks second in OECD for natural disaster costs as infrastructure faces rising risks
5th Feb 25, 9:28am
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New Zealand ranks second in OECD for natural disaster costs as infrastructure faces rising risks
Stats NZ says high interest payments on mortgages continue to contribute 'significantly' to living costs
3rd Feb 25, 11:36am
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Stats NZ says high interest payments on mortgages continue to contribute 'significantly' to living costs
Roger J Kerr says the tariffs failed to achieve the objective last time, and the chances are that this time will be no different
3rd Feb 25, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says the tariffs failed to achieve the objective last time, and the chances are that this time will be no different
ANZ chief economist says perhaps reality is biting for businesses as it becomes clear falling interest rates will take time to 'work their magic'
30th Jan 25, 1:26pm
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ANZ chief economist says perhaps reality is biting for businesses as it becomes clear falling interest rates will take time to 'work their magic'