Mark Smith
[updated]
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show inflationary pressures are continuing to look subdued following the big rises of the past few years
14th Nov 24, 11:21am
27
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show inflationary pressures are continuing to look subdued following the big rises of the past few years
Economists see the Reserve Bank being wary on inflation and taking a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts next year
12th Nov 24, 10:05am
9
Economists see the Reserve Bank being wary on inflation and taking a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts next year
Latest Statistics NZ figures show that there's been no monthly jobs growth in any of the past six months - while the construction sector in particular is contracting substantially
29th Oct 24, 11:28am
30
Latest Statistics NZ figures show that there's been no monthly jobs growth in any of the past six months - while the construction sector in particular is contracting substantially
[updated]
A weak result in the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion has prompted economists to change their calls and forecast that the RBNZ will cut the Official Cash Rate by a massive 100 basis points before the end of the year
2nd Oct 24, 10:12am
84
A weak result in the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion has prompted economists to change their calls and forecast that the RBNZ will cut the Official Cash Rate by a massive 100 basis points before the end of the year
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show that food prices rose just 0.4% in the year to August while rent increases remained at the same level and fuel and travel costs dipped
12th Sep 24, 11:46am
31
Statistics NZ's Selected Price Indexes show that food prices rose just 0.4% in the year to August while rent increases remained at the same level and fuel and travel costs dipped
Employment enters weakest period since the Global Financial Crisis with the number of filled jobs down 0.5% on the same time a year ago
28th Aug 24, 1:13pm
88
Employment enters weakest period since the Global Financial Crisis with the number of filled jobs down 0.5% on the same time a year ago
New Zealand retail sales down 1.2% in June quarter, extending two-year downward trend in consumer spending
23rd Aug 24, 12:44pm
71
New Zealand retail sales down 1.2% in June quarter, extending two-year downward trend in consumer spending
[updated]
Statistics NZ says food prices rose 0.6% in the year to July; annual rental growth of 4.3% is the slowest rate of growth since November 2023
15th Aug 24, 11:26am
37
Statistics NZ says food prices rose 0.6% in the year to July; annual rental growth of 4.3% is the slowest rate of growth since November 2023
Three quarters of annual inflation was due to cost pressures outside the control of the RBNZ’s monetary policy
18th Jul 24, 12:47pm
111
Three quarters of annual inflation was due to cost pressures outside the control of the RBNZ’s monetary policy
The drop in the annual inflation rate to 3.3% sees economists adopt a near-consensus view that the Reserve Bank will begin interest rate cuts in November. But an earlier start is seen as possible
18th Jul 24, 5:00am
30
The drop in the annual inflation rate to 3.3% sees economists adopt a near-consensus view that the Reserve Bank will begin interest rate cuts in November. But an earlier start is seen as possible
ASB economists say they hope that households will base their future decisions 'on a more realistic outlook' for household incomes, house prices and borrowing costs
9th Jul 24, 8:25am
43
ASB economists say they hope that households will base their future decisions 'on a more realistic outlook' for household incomes, house prices and borrowing costs
Economists are eyeing earlier interest rate cuts after ‘dire’ business survey shows inflation has been ‘beaten’
2nd Jul 24, 1:49pm
79
Economists are eyeing earlier interest rate cuts after ‘dire’ business survey shows inflation has been ‘beaten’
ASB economists expect 'a considerably more modest inflation impact in NZ' than during the pandemic spike in shipping costs, but say the latest rise 'will further crimp NZ and global household demand'
26th Jun 24, 11:49am
6
ASB economists expect 'a considerably more modest inflation impact in NZ' than during the pandemic spike in shipping costs, but say the latest rise 'will further crimp NZ and global household demand'
Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
1st May 24, 3:56pm
7
Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
28th Apr 24, 6:01am
49
Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
Stats NZ figures show that retail card spending fell a seasonally-adjusted 1.8% in February after a bounce in activity in January
12th Mar 24, 11:49am
86
Stats NZ figures show that retail card spending fell a seasonally-adjusted 1.8% in February after a bounce in activity in January
Reserve Bank policymakers will be weighing up various measures of inflation as they begin committee deliberations
18th Feb 24, 6:00am
53
Reserve Bank policymakers will be weighing up various measures of inflation as they begin committee deliberations
[updated]
Stats NZ says food prices rose 0.9% in January, while rents for new tenancies shot up 2.5%, and tobacco prices increased 6.4% - but airfares went into reverse
14th Feb 24, 11:25am
77
Stats NZ says food prices rose 0.9% in January, while rents for new tenancies shot up 2.5%, and tobacco prices increased 6.4% - but airfares went into reverse
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey shows a decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its next Official Cash Rate decision
13th Feb 24, 3:35pm
20
Influential RBNZ survey shows a decisive drop in the expectation of future levels of inflation in a result that will give the RBNZ comfort ahead of its next Official Cash Rate decision
ASB economists assess the key risks in the year ahead - there's plenty
Overall inflation direction encouraging but bank economists cautious about stubborn non-tradeable inflation
14th Dec 23, 7:40am
57
Overall inflation direction encouraging but bank economists cautious about stubborn non-tradeable inflation
ASB economists estimate that average household living costs will have increased by about $115 a week in 2023 - and with a further $70 hike to come next year, but income rises will probably beat that
7th Dec 23, 10:30am
42
ASB economists estimate that average household living costs will have increased by about $115 a week in 2023 - and with a further $70 hike to come next year, but income rises will probably beat that
Economists say the Reserve Bank will be wary of survey results that show shorter term inflation expectations have fallen but longer term expectations for both inflation and interest rates have risen
9th Nov 23, 9:07am
70
Economists say the Reserve Bank will be wary of survey results that show shorter term inflation expectations have fallen but longer term expectations for both inflation and interest rates have risen
Food prices virtually unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis in the past month, taking the annual rate of food price inflation down to 8.0%, according to Stats NZ
12th Oct 23, 11:13am
57
Food prices virtually unchanged on a seasonally adjusted basis in the past month, taking the annual rate of food price inflation down to 8.0%, according to Stats NZ
More economists are seeing a likelihood that the Reserve Bank will not start cutting the Official Cash Rate till 2025
9th Oct 23, 2:36pm
15
More economists are seeing a likelihood that the Reserve Bank will not start cutting the Official Cash Rate till 2025