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New free trade deal with the UK comes as our exports to them languish, our imports from them grow, and their services drain on our balance of payments builds. It's a deal very like one the Aussies already have

Business / news
New free trade deal with the UK comes as our exports to them languish, our imports from them grow, and their services drain on our balance of payments builds. It's a deal very like one the Aussies already have
NZ and UK flags

New Zealand has signed a new free trade deal with the United Kingdom. Today's signing completes the announcement made in October 2021.

The British will eliminate all tariffs on almost products it imports from New Zealand as soon as it "enters into force", and that could be by the end of 2022.

“We are aiming for this historic agreement to enter into force by the end of 2022, after both partners have ratified the agreement through our respective parliaments,” Trade Minister Damien O’Connor said.

But the tariff-free extensions will still be limited by quotas. Those quotas however are agreed to be released over time in the Agreement.

In 2020, New Zealand exported $1.52 bln in goods to the UK. This fell to $1.4 bln in 2021. In 2020 our imports from the UK were $1.42 bln, and rose to $1.62 bln in 2021. Our merchandise trade went from a +$100 mln surplus in 2020 to a -$222 mln deficit in 2021 with the UK over those two years.

Further, the UK is a large investor in New Zealand and we run substantial services deficits with them.

New Zealand already levies virtually no tariffs on imports from the UK and imposes no quotas on UK goods.

This new deal is expected to save our exporters "$37 mln per year on tariff elimination ... from day one" according to the material released with the deal announcement.

And the deal gives New Zealand traders new duty-free quota access for beef, sheep meat, butter and cheese – with all quotas and tariffs removed after between five and 15 years.

The Government claims (heroically?) that it will "boost our GDP by up to $1 billion, supporting business and jobs across the economy".

In announcing the deal, O'Connor said: “It’s estimated New Zealand goods exports to the UK will increase by over 50 percent through the agreement."

“Our largest export to the UK is wine – approximately $500 million. Overnight $14 million of wine tariffs will evaporate. New Zealand’s honey exporters will no longer face a $16 duty for every $100 worth of honey they send to the UK."

But these gains are minor compared to the up to 15 year wait our main dairy and meat exports have had extended to them.

Given that we are in a major deficit in our overall trade with the UK, and we have to wait for any meaningful benefits, this deal hardly seems "historic" or "world leading" the parties are claiming. But it is progress, even though we are being forced to wait for that progress.

There are other elements included important to Wellington.

“This is our first bilateral trade agreement to include a specific article on climate change and includes provisions towards eliminating environmentally harmful subsidies, such as harmful fossil fuel subsidies, and prohibiting fisheries subsidies which lead to overfishing," Prime Minister Ardern said.

“It also includes a ground-breaking Māori Trade and Economic Cooperation chapter that will create a platform for cooperation on issues important to Māori."

O'Connor noted: "... over 290 environmentally beneficial products have been prioritised for tariff elimination – the largest environment goods list ever agreed in the world for an FTA."

“This agreement reflects the Government’s Trade For All agenda, ensuring this FTA works harder both for our economy and our society.  It includes commitments on SMEs, trade and gender, trade and development, and consumer protection,” he said.

The FTA also includes commitments on the movement of business persons, making it easier to do business in the UK.

The New Zealand deal comes ten weeks after the Australians concluded their "deal in principle" with the UK. That earlier deal was also labelled "gold-standard" and "historic". The Australian deal has remarkable similarities to the one New Zealand has just signed.

Compared with our existing trade with China, this new deal is small beer. Compare with our existing trade with Australia, the USA and Japan, it is not large either.

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13 Comments

I agree with the tone of David's article. The deal is a positive step in trade relations.  But as David says, it is 'small beer'. It is very hard to see the billion dollar benefits that the Government is suggesting.
KeithW

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It is not that a large step true,  but at least it is a step, and a good one in the right direction. Mr O’Connor is one of the most experienced ministers, and it shows. Something of a quiet achiever and even Jamie McKay doesn’t find all that much fault with him, it seems.

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It was reported back in the negotiation stage that the removal of wine tariffs would reduce the price an average 20p/bottle - hard to see that making any significant difference. While its another 15 years before there any significant changes to beef lamb etc. the UK could be defacto  embedded back into the EU framework by then. 

Also, no public mention yet of the original UK negotiation requirement of immediate opening up of NZ to UK foreign direct  investment ? - its unlikely this got given up

 

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I think I read this morning that OIO kicks in over $200M investment.

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Will the British keep their end of the deal? They've played pretty fast and loose with the EU trade deal.

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So another small slice off the one law for all principle of a real democracy.

What exactly are these issues that are important to Maori but not anyone else ? Examples please.

“It also includes a ground-breaking Māori Trade and Economic Cooperation chapter that will create a platform for cooperation on issues important to Māori."

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Maori have intellectual property interests in their designs, Haka and other traditional practices. Why shouldn’t these be protected? Much of what give NZ it’s point of difference comes from Maori and our place as a Pacific Country. I suggest you are being over sensitive.

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Lol. As if anybody outside New Zealand wants their designs, haka or traditional practises.

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You would be surprised. I used to work for a large multi-national. We had two Maori lads come along to our conference in London to teach the whole company the Haka as a team building exercise , they explained the history and culture side too. I reckon they would have made a fair bit of money for their services. Maori also make up 30% of NZ sheep and Beef production and 10% of Dairy. They manage $13b of primary sector assets. (BNZ Shift Happens report). Marketing is about having a story, provenance and point of difference. Te Ao Maori provides all of that. Kaitiakitanga also aligns with the global consumer demand for sustainability and biodiversity protection. Open your mind.

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Agree. Also when you think of the imagery that ends up on the skin of people like Mike Tyson and Robbie Williams. There is a global interest and appropriation of Maori culture that was frankly turbo boosted by the success and mythology of the All Blacks.

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One small step for NZ. One giant leap for the UK. However, nice to see a once great relationship moving forward again.

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I really wish people would stop referring to these as FTAs/Free Trade Agreements. They are preferential trade agreements. the 'free' part may eventually come but the fact that there's a goods list shows that the UK is still trying to protect its inefficient farmers.

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Can’t quite remember its actual designation but when I worked in the international section of a trading bank in the 1960s there was in place then  a Commonwealth Trading Preference. That’s why NZ had heaps of Morris, Austin, Hillmans etc beyond anything else. Export bills of lading were captioned as Homeward. EEC entrance of course disappeared all of that eventually.

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