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Natalia Albert says we're thinking about the public service in the wrong ways, perhaps we need an engineer rather than consultants to figure out its future

Public Policy / opinion
Natalia Albert says we're thinking about the public service in the wrong ways, perhaps we need an engineer rather than consultants to figure out its future
ps
Photo by Sulthan Auliya on Unsplash.

By Natalia Albert*

The minister responsible for reforming New Zealand's public service currently holds 11 portfolios. Eleven. That’s too many. Paul Goldsmith is Minister for Defence, Justice, Treaty of Waitangi Negotiations, Arts and Culture, Veterans, Pacific People, Space, National Security, Media and Communication, Digital Government and drum roll: the Public Service. In what world? 

Goldsmith is not the point. The point is that we have designed a public service where one minister holds 11 portfolios, running from Space to the needs of Pacific People to TVNZ. We built a system where that arrangement is possible, and then decided the problem was size. 

"The cuts are a part of a target to get the public service down to a level 1% relative to the New Zealand population, which would reduce the government funded job head count to 55,000."1 So the government did what made sense under that assumption: it fired too many public servants, too fast, and called it Public Service Transformation. Cutting to a headcount target before you've built anything to absorb the capability gap, is an incorrect, and destabilizing approach. 

This government has done too much, too fast. The reforms since 2023 landed a lot of disruption in a short window, on a sector whose entire reason for existing is to provide a national sense of stability. The public service trades in continuity. You cannot destabilise it at speed and then act surprised when it stops working. In spite of what people think, the main role of the public service is not fairness, or even equity, its stability. Doing as much as possible, for as many folks as possible to maintain a level of national stability. 

The principle of the public service reform is correct. The execution is not. The pace of change and the fixation on size have undermined the basic thing the public service is for. The government can credibly say it has cut roles and spend. What it cannot say is that the advice got better. Or that anything else stabilised (not the economy, not health, not the cost of housing). 

And here is the part that should worry both sides: Labour will campaign on rebuilding it, National will campaign on cutting it further, and neither of them is describing a better design. They are describing a dial. Bigger, smaller. That's the whole conversation. And they will hire a consultancy agency like PwC to tell them where to cut down and where to build up. 

So, due to the need to keep reaching out to big consultancy firms like Deloitte, in Wellington City Councill's case, to tell us what to do, we have not only destabilized our public service, but we have privatised it. We outsourced the risk that advice carries, and that matters because it takes advice out of the democratic process. It weakens the advice, which weakens the institutions, which weakens the democracy. Three tiers, all leaning on each other. The cost of these reports is criminal, the quality of the advice is rubbish, and everyone knows it. So why do we keep doing it? 

Because we have very high levels of transparency, which produce very high levels of accountability, which in turn produce a very low appetite for risk. In that environment it becomes irresistible to ask an 'independent' agent to tell the government what to do and to carry the risk of having said it. Consultants are political insurance. Both the politicians and the firms have framed this as cost-cutting and as partnership in governance. It is neither. What this model does is moves knowledge, memory and judgment out of the state and into the private sector. Capitalism, neoliberalism and liberal democracy, meeting in the middle of the Venn diagram and shaking hands, endlessly. 

So what would a better one look like? 

We have too many agencies and ministers have too many portfolios. Facts. It's overcooked, 100%. But cutting roles based on an arbitrary number like 1% of the population is not the answer either. 

Nobody has ever shown that a smaller state is a more effective one. And a larger public sector will always consume more consulting services than a smaller one, because size correlates with organisational complexity, and complexity creates problems of coordination, collaboration and control. So, I'm not arguing for a bigger one. I'm arguing that the size question is the wrong question. 

Some agencies do need to go. We do need fewer portfolios, managed better. But that is a conclusion you reach by looking at how the system works, not by counting heads and cutting. It's a design problem, not a size problem, and I don't think political scientists or politicians have cracked it. Maybe what we need is an engineer. Just a thought. 

Take the population agencies (Women, Pacific Peoples, Ethnic Communities). They need either a real budget and a stronger mandate, or to be absorbed into departments that have both. Small, underfunded, with no lever to pull is the wrong model. The value behind them is right. In practice they are infuriating, and I say that as someone the state counts as an ethnic migrant. 

Countries like Ireland and Singapore, with populations close to ours, organise their governments in entirely different ways. Ireland caps its cabinet at 15 ministers, in the constitution. Singapore runs 16 ministries and layers second ministers and ministers of state underneath, so a portfolio has depth rather than one overstretched person on top. Neither is a model we should copy wholesale. But both are the result of someone sitting down and deciding how thinly executive attention can be spread before accountability stops meaning anything. We have never made that decision. We just keep adding.

1) From The Conversation article by Barbara Allen, Jonathan Boston and and Michael Macaulay; https://theconversation.com/the-push-for-a-smaller-public-service-risks-coming-at-a-larger-cost-for-new-zealanders-283271


*Natalia Albert is a political scientist specialising in New Zealand politics. She is a regular contributor on RNZ Nights with Emile Donovan, Afternoons with Jesse Mulligan and writes for interest.co.nz. Less Certain is her weekly newsletter. Albert stood as a TOP candidate in the 2023 election.

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13 Comments

This piece asks some very important questions and has a general solution whose necessity is hard to argue with.

My questions are about execution. 

How to redesign a public service for whom a major concern has been the reproduction of the public service? It feels like getting Turkeys to vote on the Christmas dinner menu.

How to re-engineer government and public service without external input? The people who got us in to this position are not the ones to get us out of it.

When does stability become intransigence that finds ways to block the elected representatives? That perception incentivises and underwrites dramatic and inept political responses. How do we change that relationship? 

 

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Growth - in everything, including public service - was a child of surplus energy. 

That is reversing - so the suggestion of an engineer, is closer that some would think. 

This (the most recent post) is the background: Surplus Energy Economics | The home of the SEEDS economic model – Tim Morgan

So we will be de-complexifying, massively. Those who see/saw the PS as being a financial impediment to their wealth aspirations, miss(ed) the point - we will be doing less, with less, to less, increasingly as time goes on. 

 

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I found the New Zealand Initiative's comparison between New Zealand and Norway's public service pretty illustrative:

https://www.nzinitiative.org.nz/reports-and-media/reports/cabinet-congestion

I am very pro-Government and spending money to achieve things for the country, but it's hard to imagine the current structure doing so efficiently. 

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What cuts?

https://share.google/aimode/Qb1Ffn0hsCi6otIlp

"But cutting roles based on an arbitrary number like 1% of the population is not the answer either. "

A quota % of the population is a political copout, ignoring workload, workflow efficiencies & technological transformation. "Work expands to fill the time available for its completion" Parkinsons Law. "Time" includes resources.

Much like Muldoons use of the Ministry of Works to reduce unemployment numbers 50 yrs ago, Labour used the Public Service: increasing staff by ~18000 / 40% 2017-2023. With no significant improvement in public services.

Nobody has ever shown that a larger state is a more effective one

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We outsourced the risk that advice carries, and that matters because it takes advice out of the democratic process. It weakens the advice, which weakens the institutions, which weakens the democracy.

I couldn't agree more Natalia, however to prevent the level of outsourcing requires high levels of accountability e.g Managerial decisions to use consultants need to be heavily scrutinised both in decision credibility, and financially, and management utilising consultancy needs to be consistently held accountable for any consultancy failures or missed deadlines, cost blowouts etc. This would put managerial skin in the game, resulting in them being more firm with consultancies holding them to account, plus likely having more stringent, performance-based contracts. 

However I need to point out that you contradict yourself with the below statement:

Because we have very high levels of transparency, which produce very high levels of accountability, which in turn produce a very low appetite for risk.
 

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And when it goes wrong, say the tragic landslide at the Mount, the CEO needs to be held to account, because on his watch, he allowed the chronic incompetence of the systems and staff.  

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In NZ, accountability is so last century. From Parliament, Judiciary, Academia, Police, Schools, Local govt etc...crickets

"The past is a different country..."

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The problem with National and for that matter any other party/government who want to trim the Public Service is that you get blanket statement from someone like Willis to the HoDs is cut by X%. The problem with this approach is that you may need one department to cut only by 0.9X% but another by 1.1X%. I don't blame the CEO's for loading up on employees in their department knowing that in a few years it'll be cut back. The other thing is that in today's complex society most of these politicians of any party either do not have the brainpower or inclination to actually formulate anything meaningful on their own. They have to rely on the Public Service. Perhaps someone with more knowledge about the inner workings of Parliament can say what the caucus, outside of ministers,  does. Do they actually do anything on formulating policy?  My limited knowledge on a single submission to ex Minister Penk was that Ministers do not read or their gatekeeper has been told not to bother them with individual submissions. That's why I am glad that Penk has gone. I read later that he was well received by industry and other institutions on being lobbied and making changes.

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This government has done too much, too fast. The reforms since 2023 landed a lot of disruption in a short window, on a sector whose entire reason for existing is to provide a national sense of stability. 

The public sector failed spectacularly to provide stability, when it mattered.  

Our public service had preplanned pandemic response steps written.  We could have gone with stability and acted like Sweden implementing known best practices.  We had every opportunity to behave sensibly. 

Instead, we had whatever passing fad our public sector chose to adopt - week to week or day to day.  Lockdown/no lockdown/lockdown again; passports, mandates, that later didn't really exist; bill of rights vanished; isolation enforced except for some; and so on.  

Our public service was the source of our instability in 2023, even more so than the virus. It needed to be gutted.  

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Although Natalia Albert it right, this is what ACT's David Seymore has being calling for several years.

We don't need the former Opportunities Party Deputy to tell us something we already know. 

The problem with the Public Service is their lack of neutrality and employment based affirmative action rather than merit based. Many departments in Wellington are filled with DEI employees. This issue also needs to be addressed. 

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We don't need the former Opportunities Party Deputy to tell us something we already know. 

 

Plenty of people in the Public Service don't seem to know it.  Maybe some of them will take the opportunity to read this article, step back and reflect on their current careers for the first time ever.

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As has been stated by someone we will discover that we need more and more hands to the pump.

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The debate regarding the number of ministries, departments is becoming stale.

It does requires action, but is beyond the competence of all parties IMO.

We need to focus on actions that bring efficiency and productivity gains, in the short term.

Two immediate suggestions:

  1. Culture change:
    1. Hire and Promotion on Merit.
    2. Make it easy to fire non-performing employees (they are never sacked and they are recirculated. This generates a non-performance attitude amongst the majority of employees.
  2. IT systems
    1. There are too may fiefdoms making point decisions.
    2. Set up all of government IT policies and procurements that are mandated and enforced.

 

This is easy to achieve and should yield a conservative 10% saving across the public sector.

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