GDP
The return of inflation well and truly into the 1% to 3% target range is most welcome news, but what does it say for the immediate path of interest rates and how quickly the economy can recover?
16th Oct 24, 11:55am
53
The return of inflation well and truly into the 1% to 3% target range is most welcome news, but what does it say for the immediate path of interest rates and how quickly the economy can recover?
Roger J Kerr says the the reality is that the New Zealand economy still has a major problem with sticky/high non-tradable inflation from the public sector and non-competitive sectors of the economy
14th Oct 24, 8:59am
14
Roger J Kerr says the the reality is that the New Zealand economy still has a major problem with sticky/high non-tradable inflation from the public sector and non-competitive sectors of the economy
Brian Easton sees a looming crisis for the oldest elderly and says we should be setting a formula for superannuation eligibility based upon life expectation, not a numerical age
7th Oct 24, 9:28am
50
Brian Easton sees a looming crisis for the oldest elderly and says we should be setting a formula for superannuation eligibility based upon life expectation, not a numerical age
Roger J Kerr says the latest US jobs data leaves unanswered questions
[updated]
A weak result in the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion has prompted economists to change their calls and forecast that the RBNZ will cut the Official Cash Rate by a massive 100 basis points before the end of the year
2nd Oct 24, 10:12am
84
A weak result in the latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion has prompted economists to change their calls and forecast that the RBNZ will cut the Official Cash Rate by a massive 100 basis points before the end of the year
[updated]
Latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows not only that optimism about the future continues to grow, but also the first signs of improvement in current activity
30th Sep 24, 1:25pm
72
Latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows not only that optimism about the future continues to grow, but also the first signs of improvement in current activity
Dairy company Synlait says it 'can now confidently draw a line under several of the difficulties faced and move onto the more important matters concerning running a growing and viable business'
30th Sep 24, 9:52am
Dairy company Synlait says it 'can now confidently draw a line under several of the difficulties faced and move onto the more important matters concerning running a growing and viable business'
Brian Easton tracks the path of stagnation and contraction the NZ economy has been on
30th Sep 24, 8:17am
6
Brian Easton tracks the path of stagnation and contraction the NZ economy has been on
Roger J Kerr outlines why the New Zealand dollar has been rising
Kiwibank economists say they would 'advocate' that the Reserve Bank cuts the OCR by 50 basis points both next month and again in November
23rd Sep 24, 3:09pm
78
Kiwibank economists say they would 'advocate' that the Reserve Bank cuts the OCR by 50 basis points both next month and again in November
Roger J Kerr says what is important for the future NZ dollar direction is whether the US dollar continues to depreciate and how much the Australian dollar and Japanese Yen - which the NZD follows - benefit from that
23rd Sep 24, 8:28am
2
Roger J Kerr says what is important for the future NZ dollar direction is whether the US dollar continues to depreciate and how much the Australian dollar and Japanese Yen - which the NZD follows - benefit from that
Economists call for faster rate cuts as the recent slowdown in economic activity outpaces the 2008 recession
20th Sep 24, 6:00am
177
Economists call for faster rate cuts as the recent slowdown in economic activity outpaces the 2008 recession
The country's largest bank says the types of spending most sensitive to interest rates are experiencing the largest falls
19th Sep 24, 11:35am
The country's largest bank says the types of spending most sensitive to interest rates are experiencing the largest falls
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
19th Sep 24, 10:53am
199
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
16th Sep 24, 2:21pm
47
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
Activity in New Zealand’s services sector 'inched its way higher' during August
16th Sep 24, 11:53am
4
Activity in New Zealand’s services sector 'inched its way higher' during August
Roger J Kerr says the historical correlation would suggest the Japanese Yen still has a lot further to appreciate towards 130.00 and even lower as the bond differential heads to 2.50% through higher Japanese yields and lower US yields
16th Sep 24, 8:26am
Roger J Kerr says the historical correlation would suggest the Japanese Yen still has a lot further to appreciate towards 130.00 and even lower as the bond differential heads to 2.50% through higher Japanese yields and lower US yields
David Hargreaves assesses the prospects for the forthcoming quarterly GDP figures, which are likely to be grim, but might hopefully point to better times ahead
15th Sep 24, 6:30am
146
David Hargreaves assesses the prospects for the forthcoming quarterly GDP figures, which are likely to be grim, but might hopefully point to better times ahead
Large numbers of students pushed the monthly net migration gain to more than 5,000 in July
11th Sep 24, 11:33am
55
Large numbers of students pushed the monthly net migration gain to more than 5,000 in July
Roger J Kerr says all the economic indicators and financial market direction in the US point to continuing lower interest rates and a depreciating US dollar value
9th Sep 24, 8:27am
1
Roger J Kerr says all the economic indicators and financial market direction in the US point to continuing lower interest rates and a depreciating US dollar value
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
8th Sep 24, 6:30am
47
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
The leading alternative to GDP is languishing over a technical disagreement with grave potential consequences, Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing & Nicholas Hanley argue
5th Sep 24, 11:02am
7
The leading alternative to GDP is languishing over a technical disagreement with grave potential consequences, Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing & Nicholas Hanley argue
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
3rd Sep 24, 1:15pm
43
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
Roger J Kerr says if the US had up-to-date and accurate economic measures of rents and jobs in the US economy, the Fed would have cut interest rates many months earlier
2nd Sep 24, 8:27am
2
Roger J Kerr says if the US had up-to-date and accurate economic measures of rents and jobs in the US economy, the Fed would have cut interest rates many months earlier
[updated]
'Things are looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms', says ANZ; Finance Minister says the survey shows businesses 'are feeling a whole lot better about the future'
29th Aug 24, 1:36pm
78
'Things are looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms', says ANZ; Finance Minister says the survey shows businesses 'are feeling a whole lot better about the future'