GDP

Statistics NZ’s retail trade survey finds squeezed household budgets caused a 0.5% drop in seasonally adjusted retail sales volumes in the June quarter, the first quarterly fall since December 2024

Statistics NZ’s retail trade survey finds squeezed household budgets caused a 0.5% drop in seasonally adjusted retail sales volumes in the June quarter, the first quarterly fall since December 2024

Brian Easton questions whether people are too focused on material consumption at the expense of wellbeing

Brian Easton questions whether people are too focused on material consumption at the expense of wellbeing

Roger J Kerr traces the US Government shifts from intervening to supporting the yen to intervening to support their own bond market

Roger J Kerr traces the US Government shifts from intervening to supporting the yen to intervening to support their own bond market

The latest PMI figures point to a ‘positive start’ to the third economic quarter of the year, but the latest PSI figures highlight a slow services sector that don't indicate a change to the unemployment rate anytime soon

The latest PMI figures point to a ‘positive start’ to the third economic quarter of the year, but the latest PSI figures highlight a slow services sector that don't indicate a change to the unemployment rate anytime soon

Roger J Kerr does a stocktake of New Zealand’s current economic fundamentals. He also sees US economic results consistently below forecasts that were overly optimistic

Roger J Kerr does a stocktake of New Zealand’s current economic fundamentals. He also sees US economic results consistently below forecasts that were overly optimistic

Roger J Kerr sees an inevitable reset in US interest rates, a NZD that is turning positive, and he reviews the prospects for the Aussie dollar

Roger J Kerr sees an inevitable reset in US interest rates, a NZD that is turning positive, and he reviews the prospects for the Aussie dollar

Brian Easton looks at where the grumpiness threatening the nation’s stability is coming from

Brian Easton looks at where the grumpiness threatening the nation’s stability is coming from

Roger J Kerr looks for the drivers of the recent US bond market rout, and notes the US dollar is sliding on their weaker economic data. He also sees our string local bounce-back of business confidence defying global uncertainty

Roger J Kerr looks for the drivers of the recent US bond market rout, and notes the US dollar is sliding on their weaker economic data. He also sees our string local bounce-back of business confidence defying global uncertainty

Roger J Kerr sees weaker US jobs growth undermining the market pricing for an inflation-fighting Fed hike, and the USD will fall too. At the same time he finds strength in recent NZ and Australian economic data

Roger J Kerr sees weaker US jobs growth undermining the market pricing for an inflation-fighting Fed hike, and the USD will fall too. At the same time he finds strength in recent NZ and Australian economic data

Roger J Kerr says NZ, Aussie and US interest rates are set to converge to the same level, while US markets underestimate the disinflationary impulse underway

Roger J Kerr says NZ, Aussie and US interest rates are set to converge to the same level, while US markets underestimate the disinflationary impulse underway

Roger J Kerr says the prolonged period of NZ dollar weakness has given a major boost to our export sector with substantially higher export commodity prices. "We will now see NZD appreciation in its own right, returning all the currency cross-rates higher"

Roger J Kerr says the prolonged period of NZ dollar weakness has given a major boost to our export sector with substantially higher export commodity prices. "We will now see NZD appreciation in its own right, returning all the currency cross-rates higher"

Governor Anna Breman says it’s likely RBNZ will need to withdraw some more monetary stimulus, uncertainty over neutral interest rate following first OCR hike since May 2023

Governor Anna Breman says it’s likely RBNZ will need to withdraw some more monetary stimulus, uncertainty over neutral interest rate following first OCR hike since May 2023

RBNZ raises Official Cash Rate 25 basis points to 2.50% with external and internal Monetary Policy Committee members reaching consensus

RBNZ raises Official Cash Rate 25 basis points to 2.50% with external and internal Monetary Policy Committee members reaching consensus

Roger J Kerr assesses what the relative performances of the NZ and AU economies mean for the NZD/AUD cross-rate. And he notes financial markets start to rethink the Fed’s next move with interest rates

Roger J Kerr assesses what the relative performances of the NZ and AU economies mean for the NZD/AUD cross-rate. And he notes financial markets start to rethink the Fed’s next move with interest rates

Roger J Kerr has two good reasons as to why the FX markets, in buying up the USD, have misread the Fed. He also sees the Aussie dollar pulling back, but retaining its yield advantage

Roger J Kerr has two good reasons as to why the FX markets, in buying up the USD, have misread the Fed. He also sees the Aussie dollar pulling back, but retaining its yield advantage