NZIER

Luxon's leadership gauntlet and economic realities: Inside a tense storm at Parliament

Luxon's leadership gauntlet and economic realities: Inside a tense storm at Parliament

Middle East war poses risk to NZ’s fragile economic recovery, but there has only been a 'modest lift' in firms raising prices so far, NZIER business confidence survey says

Middle East war poses risk to NZ’s fragile economic recovery, but there has only been a 'modest lift' in firms raising prices so far, NZIER business confidence survey says

‘The world has definitely changed but we have seen the benefits over time of low and stable inflation’: RBNZ Governor Anna Breman stands by inflation target, says 2% midpoint appropriate

‘The world has definitely changed but we have seen the benefits over time of low and stable inflation’: RBNZ Governor Anna Breman stands by inflation target, says 2% midpoint appropriate

RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward

RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says future path for the OCR is conditional on how the economy evolves as some bank economists bring their forecasts for increases forward

The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year

The experts are overwhelmingly in favour of the Reserve Bank keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but do see it having to rise in the coming year

While GDP data shows economic growth, ‘it was still barely at a pace that would have halted the rise in unemployment or added to domestic inflation pressures,’ Westpac senior economist says

While GDP data shows economic growth, ‘it was still barely at a pace that would have halted the rise in unemployment or added to domestic inflation pressures,’ Westpac senior economist says

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

The experts mostly see the OCR at 2.25%-2.5% in a year's time but have concerns about the possibility of the Reserve Bank over-stimulating the economy.

The experts mostly see the OCR at 2.25%-2.5% in a year's time but have concerns about the possibility of the Reserve Bank over-stimulating the economy.

Economists say the September quarter annual inflation figure likely marks the peak and they still expect the Reserve Bank to cut the Official Cash Rate again next month

Economists say the September quarter annual inflation figure likely marks the peak and they still expect the Reserve Bank to cut the Official Cash Rate again next month

A 50 basis-point cut to the Official Cash Rate would not be difficult to justify, economist says, as long-running NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows falling confidence in September quarter

A 50 basis-point cut to the Official Cash Rate would not be difficult to justify, economist says, as long-running NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows falling confidence in September quarter

The experts think in a years' time the OCR should be in a range between 2.50% and 2.75%, with views divided on how much further easing in monetary policy should be required beyond October

The experts think in a years' time the OCR should be in a range between 2.50% and 2.75%, with views divided on how much further easing in monetary policy should be required beyond October

The experts agree the Reserve Bank should cut the Official Cash Rate again this week - but beyond that a wide range of views is starting to form

The experts agree the Reserve Bank should cut the Official Cash Rate again this week - but beyond that a wide range of views is starting to form

With the latest annual inflation rate softer than they expected, economists see the way cleared for another Official Cash Rate cut by the Reserve Bank in August

With the latest annual inflation rate softer than they expected, economists see the way cleared for another Official Cash Rate cut by the Reserve Bank in August

A majority of the NZIER's 'Shadow Board' of experts recommend keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but there's a variety of opinions on what should come next

A majority of the NZIER's 'Shadow Board' of experts recommend keeping the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week - but there's a variety of opinions on what should come next

New Zealand firms still hopeful about an improvement in the economy despite demand remaining weak - latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion

New Zealand firms still hopeful about an improvement in the economy despite demand remaining weak - latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion