Economy
US labour market slows slightly; US car sales rise; US PMIs soft but service sector 'new orders' rise; China's mortgage book shrinks; eyes on RBA signals; UST 10yr 4.50%; gold and oil slip; NZ$1 = 60.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
6th May 24, 7:20am
22
US labour market slows slightly; US car sales rise; US PMIs soft but service sector 'new orders' rise; China's mortgage book shrinks; eyes on RBA signals; UST 10yr 4.50%; gold and oil slip; NZ$1 = 60.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
Todd Buchholz and James Carter thinks the US should have locked in favourable borrowing rates when it had the chance
5th May 24, 1:56pm
5
Todd Buchholz and James Carter thinks the US should have locked in favourable borrowing rates when it had the chance
Treasury says New Zealand faces a range of productivity problems which could lead to downgrades in future forecasts
5th May 24, 8:01am
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Treasury says New Zealand faces a range of productivity problems which could lead to downgrades in future forecasts
Bradford DeLong worries that the first mover in electric vehicles - Tesla - is increasingly running on bucket-shop hype
4th May 24, 9:30am
8
Bradford DeLong worries that the first mover in electric vehicles - Tesla - is increasingly running on bucket-shop hype
Keun Lee highlights three tools that can support domestic-market growth and development without breaking the bank
4th May 24, 9:15am
Keun Lee highlights three tools that can support domestic-market growth and development without breaking the bank
Headline American employment growth slows, US services sector expansion slows but new orders grow; SEC uncovers massive fraud; Apple stumbles, investors don't case; UST 10yr 4.50%; gold and oil slip; NZ$1 = 60.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
4th May 24, 8:46am
32
Headline American employment growth slows, US services sector expansion slows but new orders grow; SEC uncovers massive fraud; Apple stumbles, investors don't case; UST 10yr 4.50%; gold and oil slip; NZ$1 = 60.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; ANZ & others changed retail rates, various reports of decline, RBNZ worried about cash, swaps soft, NZD holds, & more
3rd May 24, 4:00pm
81
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; ANZ & others changed retail rates, various reports of decline, RBNZ worried about cash, swaps soft, NZD holds, & more
US data broadly positive; Chinese return to international travel; Argentina sniffs inflation progress; OECD sees global economic expansion rising; UST 10yr 4.58%; gold firms and oil slips; NZ$1 = 59.5 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
3rd May 24, 7:19am
26
US data broadly positive; Chinese return to international travel; Argentina sniffs inflation progress; OECD sees global economic expansion rising; UST 10yr 4.58%; gold firms and oil slips; NZ$1 = 59.5 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; soft building consent issuance, soft house sales, soft profits, popular NZGBs, mixed customer service, swaps and NZD stable, & more
2nd May 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; soft building consent issuance, soft house sales, soft profits, popular NZGBs, mixed customer service, swaps and NZD stable, & more
US Fed stands pat on policy moves despite inflation higher than they want; markets liked that; US labour market resilient; Aussie LCI up sharply for employed; UST 10yr 4.61%; gold firms and oil drops; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 68.8
2nd May 24, 7:20am
88
US Fed stands pat on policy moves despite inflation higher than they want; markets liked that; US labour market resilient; Aussie LCI up sharply for employed; UST 10yr 4.61%; gold firms and oil drops; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 68.8
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; jobless rate ticks up, financial stress still very low; housing market languishes, LGFA offers popular, swaps stable, NZD weaker, & more
1st May 24, 4:00pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; jobless rate ticks up, financial stress still very low; housing market languishes, LGFA offers popular, swaps stable, NZD weaker, & more
Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
1st May 24, 3:56pm
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Softer labour market data won’t be enough to make the RBNZ cut the OCR before late 2024 or 2025, bank economists say
Updated purchasing power parities reveal while NZ's per capita GDP sits lower than South Korea, our consumption levels are at the OECD average, and our cost of living is above that average
1st May 24, 2:37pm
3
Updated purchasing power parities reveal while NZ's per capita GDP sits lower than South Korea, our consumption levels are at the OECD average, and our cost of living is above that average
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says financial stress is building from very low levels with particular pressure on the commercial property sector
1st May 24, 11:08am
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The Reserve Bank says financial stress is building from very low levels with particular pressure on the commercial property sector
Unemployment rate climbed to 4.3% in the March quarter from 4%, just exceeding the Reserve Bank’s expectations
1st May 24, 10:56am
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Unemployment rate climbed to 4.3% in the March quarter from 4%, just exceeding the Reserve Bank’s expectations
US labour costs and retail sales rise; US sentiment sags; China PMI's marginally positive; EU growth better; Aussie retail soft; UST 10yr 4.68%; gold and oil lower; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
1st May 24, 7:19am
38
US labour costs and retail sales rise; US sentiment sags; China PMI's marginally positive; EU growth better; Aussie retail soft; UST 10yr 4.68%; gold and oil lower; NZ$1 = 59 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
Kenneth Rogoff welcomes economists' recent reassessment of the costs and benefits of public borrowing
30th Apr 24, 4:47pm
4
Kenneth Rogoff welcomes economists' recent reassessment of the costs and benefits of public borrowing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; a 6.25% TD for 6 months, migrant house buyers scarce, business sentiment sags but still positive, cash balances build, swaps steady, NZD holds, & more
30th Apr 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; a 6.25% TD for 6 months, migrant house buyers scarce, business sentiment sags but still positive, cash balances build, swaps steady, NZD holds, & more
Ross Stitt asks whether the Aussie government can cut taxes, stimulate economic growth, increase welfare spending, maintain low unemployment, and balance the budget while suppressing inflation
30th Apr 24, 10:01am
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Ross Stitt asks whether the Aussie government can cut taxes, stimulate economic growth, increase welfare spending, maintain low unemployment, and balance the budget while suppressing inflation
US inflation pressure points change; G7 foresakes coal; German inflation retreats; yen reverses on suspicions of BofJ intervention; UST 10yr 4.62%; gold firm and oil soft; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
30th Apr 24, 7:19am
53
US inflation pressure points change; G7 foresakes coal; German inflation retreats; yen reverses on suspicions of BofJ intervention; UST 10yr 4.62%; gold firm and oil soft; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TSB launches low mortgage rate, auction activity resilient, labour market data resilient too, swaps steady, NZD holds but yen falls, & more
29th Apr 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TSB launches low mortgage rate, auction activity resilient, labour market data resilient too, swaps steady, NZD holds but yen falls, & more
China's overcapacity brings profit problems at home; eyes on yuan; Japan stands pat but yen risks rise; US inflation stays sticky; UST 10yr 4.66%; gold eases and oil holds; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
29th Apr 24, 7:20am
77
China's overcapacity brings profit problems at home; eyes on yuan; Japan stands pat but yen risks rise; US inflation stays sticky; UST 10yr 4.66%; gold eases and oil holds; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
28th Apr 24, 6:01am
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Bank economists anticipate the unemployment rate will edge up when Statistics NZ releases March quarter labour market data
Mohamed El-Erian explains how to recalibrate expectations in the face of yet another forecasting failure
27th Apr 24, 9:36am
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Mohamed El-Erian explains how to recalibrate expectations in the face of yet another forecasting failure
Does fighting inflation always lead to recession? What 60 years of NZ data can tell us
27th Apr 24, 9:16am
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Does fighting inflation always lead to recession? What 60 years of NZ data can tell us