By Alex Tarrant
The government will announce its long-awaited response to the Productivity Commission's housing affordability report later today.
Finance Minister Bill English told TV One's Q&A programme on Sunday that the general thrust of the policy was to "to make it easier, both commercially and in the planning process, to enable more houses - not just green fields, but also within the cities."
Prime Minister John Key talked about policies to fast-track the development of new land on TVNZ's Breakfast programme on Monday morning.
First home and lower-income buyers had been struggling to buy affordable housing since the 2000s house price boom due to constraints on the supply of cheaper housing, particularly in Auckland, English said.
While there was no one big fix to allow for building more affordable homes, the government would work closely with councils to tackle land supply issues and development costs, English said.
He also issued a warning to existing property owners, and their possible responses to the work programme.
"If the wider community decides that they want to lock up the housing market to drive up the value of the existing houses and keep other people out, then we won’t get there," English said on Q&A.
"But, look, I think most people understand that the fact that they’ve achieved the dream is a good thing, and they’d like others to be able to achieve it. And if we can get there by looking hard at the planning process and the way councils and government make decisions, then I think people will think that’s a price worth paying," he said.
The government did not have a specific target for how much cheaper it wanted new houses to be, English said.
'Fast-track development of land'
Meanwhile, Prime Minister John Key said on Monday morning that the work programme to be announced after Cabinet on Monday afternoon - the PM's weekly post-Cabinet press conference is generally at 4pm - would not see house prices fall overnight.
Constant small appreciation in house prices was "a good thing," Key told TVNZ's Breakfast programme. What was detrimental was the bubble effects seen in the 2000s.
Key said gaining building consents under the Resource Management Act could be an arduous process. In the end, the consumer was hit with that cost.
In response to criticism from the Labour Party that the plan appeared to just be tinkering, Key said policies such as fast-tracking the development of new land were bold.
He said the government needed to work to ensure "that we're funding the infrastructure in those areas."
Number of problems
A big problem hindering the supply of new affordable homes was the cost of building.
"That does appear to be pretty high, particularly compared to Australia. There’s a lot of work being done on why that might be the case," English said.
"More scale, building regulation - all of that can be improved, and that process is underway," he said.
"We’re also concerned about the supply of housing coming to the market. It does look like the councils have got a very difficult job ensuring that there’s enough new land but also enough development within our cities of more dense housing to enable enough housing to come on to the market to stop prices rising unnecessarily."
Will help NZ's foreign debt
Government would work with councils to ensure supply met demand.
"Because if that doesn’t happen, the prices will spike, they’ll rise. We’ll end up with New Zealanders borrowing more than they need to," English said.
"That makes us more vulnerable to our overseas lenders. We’ll end up with investment being diverted into housing unnecessarily when we want it in our productive business, creating jobs," he said.
Difficult job for councils
Councils, such as the Auckland Council, had quite a difficult job when it came to balancing the wants of existing home owners and those wanting more affordable new housing.
"On the one hand, the existing homeowners don’t always want new houses. They don’t always want their views spoiled..."
"[Y]ou can understand people have invested a lot in their house and they want to keep their view or they don’t want a block of three-storey, more dense housing next door to them. So the council’s got to balance that up," English said.
"It’s then got to coordinate the schools and the roads and the public transport with the new development. So the kind of things that we’ll be looking at in response to the Productivity Commission is a broader range of tools that give us more options for getting those decisions made in a way that’ll get the houses there," he said.
See Bernard Hickey's Herald on Sunday piece, The NIMBY problem.
Different views
Different parties had their own views on what could be done to fix the affordability problem. For example, while the Auckland Council was pointing to 18,000 sections free within its existing city limits, some developers were calling for more land to be opened up beyond those limits.
"And then developers are saying, ‘Well, once we’ve done this lot, we actually haven’t got anywhere else we can go where it’s going to be worth our while.’ So some of it is about how developers actually make a return on their cash, and some of it is about how the council thinks the cities should develop," English said.
"We’ve got to close that gap, and that’s been one of the first biggest steps: the government understanding the problems for councils, which are many, and then government and councils understanding how it works commercially so we can actually get more developers freeing up their land and making it worthwhile for them to build houses," he said.
Infrastructure costs
Worries about the cost of new infrastructure such as roading and sewers for new possible homes were fair enough concerns from councils.
"In the end, the infrastructure’s going to paid for by someone, either by development levies or by existing ratepayers or by the new homeowners. Often the problem is just timing and coordination. Can we get the infrastructure built a bit ahead of the market so that we can get the houses there when they’re needed?" English said.
However, councils, developers and the government all agreed development costs were too high.
"The councils want efficient processes, developers want them, government wants them. Part of this is about getting that three-way conversation so everyone understands the impact of their decisions on the other," English said.
"A big part of this is a coordination problem. Getting government, developers and councils and banks to all work together on increasing it [co-ordination]," he said.
Labour wants housing a core council service, CGT
Labour Party housing spokeswoman Annette King accused the work programme of being "token tinkering" in response to the housing affordability crisis.
“Bill English seems to think the housing affordability crisis can be solved by the usual National party hobbyhorses of weakening the Resource Management Act and lowering standards for property developers," King said.
“Such changes will only be tinkering around the edges for thousands of Kiwis. The Government clearly doesn't realise that the main problem is affordable housing for low and moderate income earners, who just can’t find houses," she said.
“The construction of affordable housing has been described as the ' missing rung of the housing ladder' as there is a tendency for new private sector-financed houses to be large and expensive.
“Home ownership and affordable housing rates have dropped dramatically from a peak of around 75% in the 1980s to 65% today. This has impacted on younger people, the very people we want to keep in New Zealand. Nearly half our young people are now in rental accommodation compared to 20% in the late 1980s. Another reason so many are leaving the country for good," King said.
“Unless the Government thinks outside its narrow box and looks at innovative ways to get people into affordable housing the crisis will grow while the Government sits tinkering," she said.
“It's time for a long term housing policy, which includes a real partnership with local government, starting by including housing as part of their core services.
“Labour wants measures to put the missing rung of the housing ladder in place and give people a leg up to it. We need to have more houses in the NZ$350,000 to NZ$450,000 range built, have quality and efficiency standards in rentals, have more social housing and introduce a capital gains tax to deter property speculation," King said.
Background
See the Productivity Commission's April recommendations here: Productivity Commission recommends immediate release of land for residential development in Auckland, Christchurch, in final housing affordability report.
See Alex Tarrant's July article, Wholesale changes to how government approaches housing affordability as it drops helping demand and focusses on supply side.
In August, Finance Minister Bill English said the biggest opportunity for brownfields housing development within Auckland's city limits was in the hands of central government, due to its large land holdings for state housing. See Housing Minister Phil Heatley in July talk about a plan to densify the government's Tamaki land holdings in this video here.
Also see October 17 article, Govt eyes more say over Auckland development rules; says if Council accepts govt panel recommendations, then no Environment Court appeals.
25 Comments
I'm liking the rhetoric coming from Bill English...the Govt's response is several years overdue but these comments are shaping up for some good reform...hopefully the announcements today prove that....English is basically agreeing with what people on this website have been ranting about for years...hopefully the Govt follows up the rhetoric with action.
No actions - for real changes - unfortunately !
There are no honest incentives coming from the government to get rid of the “Selling houses to each other” NZculture until large, nasty “Asian Mafia syndicates” break into the NZ property and housing market.
Too many fundamental problems.
The NZ property market is crazy - far too large and unsustainable in comparison to other industries. Politicians, policymakers, etc heavily involved in the “Selling houses to each other” mentality don’t care about the younger generation (affordable housing).
Well I'm not. It's interesting in that they are signalling to existing holders, that their exprectations might have to go down a bit....
But Alex - the thing is that no housing, no development, no services, were put in without oil being uesd to deliver and/or make said stuff.
You tracked the (adjusted for inflation) price of oil over, say, the last 10 years? That not only sets the prices, it sets the charges of peripheral folk like surveyors, who have to 'get there'.
Given that price hike, the Median Multiple is of historical interest only. As are cheap Council charges, cheap development and cheap constructon.
I suspect no NZ scribe, anywhere, will address that. They'll all ask economists for their opinion....
Maybe the general public need to rethink just what their housing needs are as well. The dreadful "McMansions" with the 4 bedrooms (when there are only 1.5 children) second lounge, the man-cave, the huge white kitchen with the black granit benchtop, the three bathrooms etc.etc. all on a section the size of a handkerchief - why, why, why? Instead, think all open plan living lounge, dining, kitchen combined. Get rid of the awful hallways, okay I'll allow the en-suite bathroom. Also why do we all need a double garage that takes up most of the house anyway. Might have to do with one car instead of two out there.
In other words, simplify your lives people and live within your means and we will all be much happier.
Lovely idea Snippy but you would have to go back to the 1950s to get that. That is exactly what I grew up in but it was a State House in Naenae and while it did have some problems, i.e. what were called juvenile delinquents and bodgies and widgies in those days, it was relatively peaceful and everybody had pride in their houses. Not so today, Naenae has become a ghetto! But I really do think that the majority of people need to rethink their priorities in a home. You don't need big to be happy. I still live in a three bedroom house, probably only need two now becos its just me and husband (we're heading towards that - house on the market now), but I do have the veggie garden. Tomatoes just planted today.
Annette King is as hysterically funny as ever , she wants affordable housing for low to moderate income earners ...... and thinks that can be achieved through greater numbers of $ 350 - 400 thousand houses being built ..... great for the " poor " , if they can afford a house in that price range ....
....... and she will produce this increased development by introducing a CGT , to push speculators out of the industry .....
NZ Labour : " We are consistent ....... we never learn . There's no need to ....we already know best ! "
Here's sum simple maths for those clumsie group thinkers : Assume that 50 % of the $ 400 000 house is section costs , and 50 % construction & materials :
..... remove the GST from materials & labour ..... saves $ 35 000
..... cut the average council compliance costs from $ 25 000 , to a more acceptable $ 5000 ..... freed up another $ 20 000 there ......
Release more land for development , chop up some of those 160 000 life-style blocks into sections .... section prices slump 30 to 40 % , possibly .... a $ 75 000 saving there ...
Tally the savings : $ 130 000 ..... suddenly , the former $ 400 000 house package becomes $ 270 000 ...... wow ! .......
....... affordable , and no CGT required !!!
The report will be a waste of time and here is why, pm from Tony Watkins - Architect.
"The significant historical moment was when people began making money out of money. In architectural terms this was the moment when people began erecting buildings not because they needed them but to make a profit. Rather than satisfying a market you created a market. This was the moment when the egalitarian New Zealand society became an immense gulf between the rich and the poor. If money is not related to something you do or make then the world just goes berserk, which it has."
You found another loon scarfie!
Why do the intellectually challenged always believe that property investment, money lending, leverage and such things are all new evils, recently created?
This is the way economies have worked for thousands of years!
It's the way NZ was built 150 years ago! It's no modern invention.
Would the loons on here stop believing that the current generation and their thinking is something special ... because it's not!
We are not special, it's all been done before. The exact same discussions about property occurred in the 90s, the 80s, the 70s and in fact if you read old newspapers the same comments were made in the 1890s, the 1880s and the 1870s.
Houses are not free gifts from the past (unless of course you're in the rust belt or a similarly depressed locale).
intellectually challenged. You forgotten my challenge to you already Chris. Pop along to a psychologist and get an IQ test done, let us know the results of your intellectual superiority.
I suggest you do a bit of homework on Tony before you go maligning his reputation.
I doubt you really have any clue about the financial or architectural history of New Zealand. No where do I claim that this is a recent phenomenon, it is New Zealand that is recent to the game, not the game itself. There are two sorts of wealth-getting, as I have said; one is a part of household management, the other is retail trade: the former necessary and honorable, while that which consists in exchange is justly censured; for it is unnatural, and a mode by which men gain from one another. The most hated sort, and with the greatest reason, is usury, which makes a gain out of money itself, and not from the natural object of it. Aristotle.
That is you he is talking about Chris. People who make money out of money, you are amongst the most hated sort. Of course you are massively complicit in this immoral and antisocial behaviour being perpetrated on the bulk of the population so it can hardly be said you are objective on the topic of housing.
Two points Scarfie:
1. What does "this was the moment when the egalitarian New Zealand society became an immense gulf between the rich and the poor" mean if it does not imply that at some point in NZ's post colonial history the use or "virtues" of money were different to that of today?
2. I'm sure I am adequately informed on NZ's Architectural and Financial History (both are pretty crucial to my full time occupation!). And it seems childish to do this, but let me stoop to your level for a moment and test you with some very basic questions that you may find it hard to google:
When was NZ's banking industry first shaken by multiple failures?
Which failed national bank was the Bank of New Zealand forced to take over and when?
Where was NZ's first stock exchange when did it open and when did it go into decline?
Now to Architecture: What landmark house was widely considered as NZ's first Californian bungalow?
What styles of revival architecture were most prevalent during the late 19th century?
Who were the early proponents of modernism in NZ?
Who brought the "shed" to suburban Auckland?
What is the main visible difference between a quintessential Canterbury "bay villa" and a quintessential Auckland "bay villa"?
Expect yet another cockamamie ballsup.
Development contributions, unrealistic resource consent costs other council add-ons are the big factor nationwide. But in Auckland the location of state housing is the biggest problem - one only Bill E can do anything about. The old 1930s-50s state housing suburbs have constrained the city by creating belts of ghettos no one particularly wants to live near.
Immigration needs constrained in Auckland too, if there is any hope of slowing price growth.
Foreign investment at this point isn't as big a factor as it was in 2003, but adding a stamp duty or CGT just for non-resident, non-citizens who buy and sell within 10 years would solve that problem.
English worried about landowners locking up land . There is an easy solution to specualtion in vacant land , push the rates up 500% on undeveloped subdivisions say 3 years after subdivision of the section . This way undeveloped land will not be economical to hold without putting it to productive use
A lot of tinkering and cheap talk. It will be years by the time anything practical comes from this; far too late and hevean knows what state we will be in by then. They need to legislate the wholesale release of land as been done in other countries facing this problem. Land does not need to be serviced with water supply or sewerage to build acceptably. (Greenheith, Kumeu) Release all land within 2 km of the city boundry and let the market sort out a fair price.
No word about the ridiculously high price of building materials from the monopoly/duopoly supliers such as Fletchers. Eg fibreglass insulation retail NZ $10/m2, North America $3/m2. There are suppliers in NZ who can supply at $5/m2 who are having trouble breaking the stranglehold that Fletchers et al have. Similarly plaster board and I am sure most other materials. We are building a new house at the moment and I am being told that there is a sort of mafia amonst the traditional material suppliers that favours major home builders, but in turn these builders must not buy anything from any of the competing suppliers.
Immigation. This is the only thing that would have a direct and quick effect. In an ecconomy with shockingly low productivity (ie too many people producing too little), high unemployment, and the flood of our young citizens overseas because they can barely survive ecconomically let alone save for a home ( any home) ; there can be no justification for any immigration; at least untill we can afford to employourselves at a decent wage and house ourselves at a reasonable cost. The reality is that this immigration thing is just a lazy attempt to boost the ecconmy by serving the demands of the new citizens. I.e a ponzie scheme that ignores the fact at the end of each turn of the wheel, the new people have to be harnessed to produce real export earning products to more than justify their inclusion. Like all ponzie schemes, this whole scam has become rather desperate as the reality of the end point approaches. We are now at the point where we are losing more people than we gain.
The problem is a fair price....land bankers will just hold on to it and drip feed it. If you want the price to become "affordable" then you need as a council or Govn to buy that 2kms of land at the boundary at its agricultural price plus say 5% and re-zoning it to residential and sell it en-mass at that price. Otherwise Until you sell a reasonably large amount of land the price will not drop at all let alone significantly.
regards
Yeah....we need more govt...more rules....more power to the bureaucrats...that'll solve the problems...not.
English is involved in an exercise in duplicity...issue grand statements while holding on to gst at 15%...happy to leave BRANZ with the power to enforce the excessive use of every sodding bit of building material the manufacturers can churn out...rubbing shoulders with how many property speculators in his own Caucus....
Meanwhile the parasites continue to own the economy having suckered so many into so much debt...Don't expect mortgage Law to be rewritten with an aim to disarm the banks....not a hope.
What we will get is the grand plan and another 'working committee' to plan on how to make the plan work...reporting back ...oh some time after the 014 election....harrrrrrrhahahaaaaa
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