The Reserve Bank rolling out a Funding for Lending Programme (FLP), offering banks very cheap funding, should lead to lower floating mortgage rates, Kiwibank economists suggest.
The Reserve Bank last week said it would roll-out the FLP in December, with up to $28 billion of funding available to banks priced at the 0.25% Official Cash Rate. The announcement gave few specifics on the FLP, with details of operations, including terms and conditions, to be made available "in coming weeks."
Kiwibank's economists suggest, in introducing the FLP, the Reserve Bank has effectively told banks; "if you don't like negative [interest] rates, slash your deposit rates, mortgage rates and business lending rates."
"Looking at residential lending rates, variable mortgage rates remain well above the rest. Variable mortgage rates are averaging [about] 4.5% across the system. Variable rates are well above the one-year fixed rate of [about] 2.5%, two-year fixed rate of [about] 2.7%, and five-year fixed rate of [about] 3%. Kiwis are not really given the option to go on variable. Fixing for one-year saves the average borrower 2% - nearly half the variable borrowing cost. If banks are to move on lending rates, variable rates have plenty of room. In an environment where interest rates are falling, a variable rate mortgage should be an option," Kiwibank's economists argue.
Kiwibank in June slashed its floating mortgage rates by 100 basis points in a move that also cut business variable loans, business revolving credit, and business overdraft rates. Kiwibank's floating mortgage rate is currently 3.40%. The big four Australian owned banks are yet to match Kiwibank, with carded, or advertised, floating mortgage rates ranging from 4.44% to 4.59%. (See all banks' carded, or advertised, home loan rates here).
The latest Reserve Bank statistics show that, as of the end of September, just 14%, or $41 billion, of residential mortgages were floating. Almost $251 billion, or 86%, were fixed.
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Highlights
• The debate about the role of the shape of the banking sector in causing financing constraints has been undecided, while the evidence on credit rationing for SMEs implies this is of great importance.• In this paper the largest empirical examination hitherto existing on this question is presented, allowing to resolve the controversy.
• In careful empirical examination of 178,000 observations from the diverse US banking sector, it is shown that large banks tend to lend to large firms, and small banks only tend to lend to small firms.
• Generalising from this large study of the largest banking system in the world, a policy implication is that in highly concentrated banking systems consisting only of a few large banks we cannot expect sufficient small firm funding. This implies the need to reform the structure.
Just can someone tell me WHY we need cheaper mortgage rates??
The only thing driving prices higher is fact that banks can lend the extra needed to fund the purchase
And they can do so only because potential purchaser is calculated to be able to "afford" the repayments at a lower rate of interest. At base, this is the driver of higher prices. So, IF you want to stop prices going up, STOP lowering credit cost. Except of course the top 50% are all decision makers are bothered about and they do v well thank you from more debt for longer.
Just remind me where evidence is for this BS idea that confidence to spend correlates with equity in house going up? Sounds like trickle down drivel to me and about as evidenced.
Jacinda meanwhile crying over Maori and Pasifika suffering crap housing for 3 years whilst not allowing government to print money to simply build housing needed at minuscule rate of interest, instead defers to RBNZ to print billions in QE to (along with no LVR) give to leveraged owners. V socialist of her
It's even worse than that - the 'bottom rung' which was do-ups and crapshacks 35 minutes out of town are gone, having been 'done up' and flipped for tax-free gains - to the extent that bottom rung no longer exists and now a two bedroom attached townhouse on the edge of the district requiring a 30 year mortgage and record-low servicing costs and an associated mega-commute are now the new 'bottom rung' for anyone shopping without parental help. Wellness, though! and ummm.... livable city?
Supposedly it is for business lending. But how much business lending do banks do for small businesses that need it?
I guess it helps those already with a mortgage, but they would need to renegotiate their rates. I wonder what interest rates some people are still on? Wonder how many are still on a rate over 5% fixed?
It is a bit odd, how much cheaper fixed is compared with floating. And personally a bit annoying as I try to figure out the best way to structure the last few years of our current mortgage -- would certainly be easier just to float if that didn't involve paying 60% more interest!
Banks offering lower floating rates is 'bad business' for two reasons:
1. The fixed rate agreement protects the bank from a wave of defaults if rates rise rapidly as rises are not typically passed to customers immediately.
2. No one refinances banks for a floating rate because fixed rates are still nominally lower and the cost of switching banks (e.g. legal fees) is prohibitive.
Marginally banks earn more on floating loans because they are higher risk products. It seems like people forget that historically rates move in both directions.
So the poor banks' margins are supposedly being squeezed, and their profits have reduced to just under a billion! Yet their margin on floating rates have doubled to almost 4%! Sounds like a Tui ad....
Looks like the Commerce Commission has plenty to look at after it sorts out the supermarkets...
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