NZ$
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; total wages up strongly as workforce swells; ANZ card data weak, bird flu risk gets closer, swaps on move, NZD stable, & more
10th Jun 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; total wages up strongly as workforce swells; ANZ card data weak, bird flu risk gets closer, swaps on move, NZD stable, & more
Roger J Kerr says to understand and interpret FX markets you must consistently monitor the sentiment, views and reasons as to why the traders, speculators and investors are increasing or decreasing their currency positions
10th Jun 24, 8:52am
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Roger J Kerr says to understand and interpret FX markets you must consistently monitor the sentiment, views and reasons as to why the traders, speculators and investors are increasing or decreasing their currency positions
An upside surprise to US nonfarm payrolls and strong wage growth pushed global bond yields sharply higher. The USD made broad gains. Markets trimmed expectations for Fed easing, pushing back a cut to December
10th Jun 24, 7:22am
An upside surprise to US nonfarm payrolls and strong wage growth pushed global bond yields sharply higher. The USD made broad gains. Markets trimmed expectations for Fed easing, pushing back a cut to December
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; real economy signals get tougher, butter at ATH, election accusations and bribery resolutions, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
7th Jun 24, 3:58pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; real economy signals get tougher, butter at ATH, election accusations and bribery resolutions, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
Net market movements have been mostly small, with signs of consolidation across equities, bonds and currencies. European rates are slightly higher after the ECB’s “hawkish cut” and US Treasury yields are little changed
7th Jun 24, 7:47am
Net market movements have been mostly small, with signs of consolidation across equities, bonds and currencies. European rates are slightly higher after the ECB’s “hawkish cut” and US Treasury yields are little changed
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; house value growth peters out, construction activity wanes, commodity prices up, huge NZGB demand, swaps stable, NZD firmer, & more
6th Jun 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; house value growth peters out, construction activity wanes, commodity prices up, huge NZGB demand, swaps stable, NZD firmer, & more
Buoyant investor risk sentiment underpinned global equities with the S&P up nearly 1% and retesting its record high. US service ISM rebounds strongly from contractionary levels in April. The Bank of Canada cut rates by 25bps
6th Jun 24, 7:59am
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Buoyant investor risk sentiment underpinned global equities with the S&P up nearly 1% and retesting its record high. US service ISM rebounds strongly from contractionary levels in April. The Bank of Canada cut rates by 25bps
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Barfoots positive, dairy prices hold up, tax take 'improves', better trade data, more reinsurance, car sales drag, swaps flat, NZD rises, & more
5th Jun 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Barfoots positive, dairy prices hold up, tax take 'improves', better trade data, more reinsurance, car sales drag, swaps flat, NZD rises, & more
US Treasury yields fell for a fourth successive day, seeing the 10-year rate down towards 4.3%, supported by safe-haven flows after some surprising emerging market election results, lower oil prices, and softer US labour market data
5th Jun 24, 7:36am
US Treasury yields fell for a fourth successive day, seeing the 10-year rate down towards 4.3%, supported by safe-haven flows after some surprising emerging market election results, lower oil prices, and softer US labour market data
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; winter housing slump, non-performing loans surge, Census investigation, swaps on hold, NZD firm, & more
4th Jun 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; winter housing slump, non-performing loans surge, Census investigation, swaps on hold, NZD firm, & more
Weaker than expected US manufacturing ISM data contributed to a rally in US treasuries and a weaker US dollar. Oil prices fell sharply after OPEC+ announced plans to phase out its production cutbacks
4th Jun 24, 7:32am
Weaker than expected US manufacturing ISM data contributed to a rally in US treasuries and a weaker US dollar. Oil prices fell sharply after OPEC+ announced plans to phase out its production cutbacks
Roger J Kerr sees the USD weakening from here after recent soft data. Markets expect the ECB to deliver their signaled rate cut this week. Eyes on the RBA, anticipating a harder line against inflation's extended pressure
3rd Jun 24, 8:00am
3
Roger J Kerr sees the USD weakening from here after recent soft data. Markets expect the ECB to deliver their signaled rate cut this week. Eyes on the RBA, anticipating a harder line against inflation's extended pressure
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; regional banking hubs fail, Rio pays up finally, lending growth limp, savers prioritise TDs, swaps ease back, NZD unchanged, & more
31st May 24, 3:58pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; regional banking hubs fail, Rio pays up finally, lending growth limp, savers prioritise TDs, swaps ease back, NZD unchanged, & more
US Treasury yields reversed course after their rise this week, encouraged by weaker data releases overnight. The 10-year rate is down 7bps to 4.54% with a slightly flatter curve
31st May 24, 7:43am
US Treasury yields reversed course after their rise this week, encouraged by weaker data releases overnight. The 10-year rate is down 7bps to 4.54% with a slightly flatter curve
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; building consents retreat, farm sales fall, bank deleveraging continues, MTF warns, meat sales to US top those to China; swaps up, NZD holds, & more
30th May 24, 3:58pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; building consents retreat, farm sales fall, bank deleveraging continues, MTF warns, meat sales to US top those to China; swaps up, NZD holds, & more
A continued move higher in global bond yields and tepid demand for US treasury supply weighed on investor risk appetite. Global equities fell with European indices close to 1% weaker
30th May 24, 7:50am
A continued move higher in global bond yields and tepid demand for US treasury supply weighed on investor risk appetite. Global equities fell with European indices close to 1% weaker
The Reserve Bank could have a fairly lengthy selling job to build public understanding of and trust in its proposed central bank digital currency
30th May 24, 5:00am
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The Reserve Bank could have a fairly lengthy selling job to build public understanding of and trust in its proposed central bank digital currency
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; infrastructure funding catch-up, housing confidence 'complicated', business confidence 'grim', swap rates rise again, NZD eases, & more
29th May 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; infrastructure funding catch-up, housing confidence 'complicated', business confidence 'grim', swap rates rise again, NZD eases, & more
A surprise jump in US consumer confidence and weak demand for US Treasuries at the 2 and 5-year auctions drove up US rates, the 10-year rate rising over 7bps. The USD rose
29th May 24, 7:43am
A surprise jump in US consumer confidence and weak demand for US Treasuries at the 2 and 5-year auctions drove up US rates, the 10-year rate rising over 7bps. The USD rose
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; new equity release option, FHBs take on more risk, DTI rules activated, hiring momentum slows, KiwiSaver shifts offshore, swap rates mixed, NZD firm, & more
28th May 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; new equity release option, FHBs take on more risk, DTI rules activated, hiring momentum slows, KiwiSaver shifts offshore, swap rates mixed, NZD firm, & more
US & UK holidays tone down markets. Some dovish comments from key ECB members pushed down European yields; US equity futures are slightly higher, and US 10-year Treasury futures are little changed
28th May 24, 7:39am
US & UK holidays tone down markets. Some dovish comments from key ECB members pushed down European yields; US equity futures are slightly higher, and US 10-year Treasury futures are little changed
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some rate changes, Co-op Bank profit up, NIMs stay up, and profits hold, China profits soft, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
27th May 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some rate changes, Co-op Bank profit up, NIMs stay up, and profits hold, China profits soft, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
Roger J Kerr is pleased the sticky inflation problem is getting acknowledged by the RBNZ. And he reviews where the US Fed is at in its assessments of inflation-control progress
27th May 24, 9:11am
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Roger J Kerr is pleased the sticky inflation problem is getting acknowledged by the RBNZ. And he reviews where the US Fed is at in its assessments of inflation-control progress
Moderation in US consumers’ inflation expectations underpins investor risk appetite. US Treasuries ended little-changed while the US dollar was weaker. Global equity markets were mixed in the absence of first tier economic data or fresh catalysts
27th May 24, 7:33am
Moderation in US consumers’ inflation expectations underpins investor risk appetite. US Treasuries ended little-changed while the US dollar was weaker. Global equity markets were mixed in the absence of first tier economic data or fresh catalysts
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; new high TD rate, affordability for FHBs improves, consumer sentiment improves slightly, April trade surplus halves, swaps up again, NZD holds, & more
24th May 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; new high TD rate, affordability for FHBs improves, consumer sentiment improves slightly, April trade surplus halves, swaps up again, NZD holds, & more